Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.178720 0.200301 0.222805 0.247969 0.275264 0.303922 0.336228
2025-02-02 0.154725 0.184766 0.217574 0.255875 0.299165 0.346384 0.401581
2025-02-09 0.133496 0.168675 0.208683 0.257146 0.313839 0.377637 0.454420
2025-02-16 0.118677 0.157764 0.203849 0.261493 0.330931 0.411143 0.510022
2025-02-23 0.108850 0.151446 0.203298 0.269993 0.352374 0.449655 0.571991
2025-03-02 0.095938 0.139803 0.194939 0.267841 0.360110 0.471389 0.613993
2025-03-09 0.086082 0.131010 0.189189 0.268075 0.370129 0.495540 0.658937
2025-03-16 0.077025 0.122335 0.182735 0.266628 0.377431 0.515991 0.699306
2025-03-23 0.071691 0.118240 0.181884 0.272138 0.393462 0.547431 0.753754
2025-03-30 0.065187 0.111838 0.177317 0.272169 0.401964 0.569130 0.795998
2025-04-06 0.059313 0.105802 0.172752 0.271741 0.409518 0.589453 0.836574
2025-04-13 0.053991 0.100103 0.168208 0.270926 0.416241 0.608551 0.875649
2025-04-20 0.049862 0.096076 0.166053 0.273658 0.428294 0.635547 0.926482
2025-04-27 0.047508 0.094690 0.167698 0.281851 0.448106 0.673329 0.992332
2025-05-04 0.043672 0.090490 0.164743 0.283035 0.457905 0.697615 1.040493
2025-05-11 0.040963 0.087948 0.164153 0.287610 0.472546 0.728711 1.098296
2025-05-18 0.039442 0.087339 0.166539 0.296696 0.493864 0.769375 1.169749
2025-05-25 0.035749 0.082468 0.161699 0.294350 0.498210 0.786280 1.208754
2025-06-01 0.032889 0.078852 0.158660 0.294583 0.506237 0.808368 1.255137
2025-06-08 0.029974 0.074830 0.154654 0.293018 0.511377 0.826296 1.295857
2025-06-15 0.028547 0.073594 0.155322 0.298937 0.527937 0.860813 1.360306
2025-06-22 0.026305 0.070485 0.152501 0.298967 0.535353 0.882125 1.406302
2025-06-29 0.024181 0.067394 0.149499 0.298505 0.541886 0.902149 1.450646